2022 Super Flex Keeper Report - Week 1
Playoff Hunt
The hunt for the playoffs as it stands. All-play is the record if all teams were to play each other every week. xWins is the number of wins you would have expected so far based on the all-play record. The playoff and bye % is calculated by randomly assigning each team a weekly score (from any team) since the league began in 2021. 10000 different seasons have been simulated using the wins to date and the remaining fixtures for each team. Strength of roster isn’t taken into account in these calculations.
The top two teams in each division will progress to the
playoffs, along with the two remaining teams with the most wins,
regardless of division. Points scored will be used as a tie-breaker.
NFC - North Division
| Position | Manager | Wins | Points | All-Play | xWins | Playoff % | Bye % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | msouthwell | 0.5 | 0 | 5.5-5.5 | 0.5 | 49.4 | 15.8 |
| 3.5 | Pindeco | 0.5 | 0 | 5.5-5.5 | 0.5 | 50.1 | 17.0 |
| 3.5 | benturvill61 | 0.5 | 0 | 5.5-5.5 | 0.5 | 49.7 | 16.6 |
| 3.5 | jhh82 | 0.5 | 0 | 5.5-5.5 | 0.5 | 50.0 | 16.5 |
| 3.5 | LannySenior | 0.5 | 0 | 5.5-5.5 | 0.5 | 50.4 | 17.3 |
| 3.5 | mikepearson | 0.5 | 0 | 5.5-5.5 | 0.5 | 50.5 | 16.8 |
SFC - South Division
| Position | Manager | Wins | Points | All-Play | xWins | Playoff % | Bye % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 0llie | 0.5 | 0 | 5.5-5.5 | 0.5 | 49.1 | 16.4 |
| 3.5 | DanCoulton | 0.5 | 0 | 5.5-5.5 | 0.5 | 49.6 | 16.4 |
| 3.5 | hyperpringle | 0.5 | 0 | 5.5-5.5 | 0.5 | 50.1 | 16.7 |
| 3.5 | JoeWright | 0.5 | 0 | 5.5-5.5 | 0.5 | 50.7 | 17.1 |
| 3.5 | splangtree | 0.5 | 0 | 5.5-5.5 | 0.5 | 50.3 | 16.8 |
| 3.5 | Tomcoulton10 | 0.5 | 0 | 5.5-5.5 | 0.5 | 50.0 | 16.7 |
Wins over expectation (WOE) looks at the relationship between actual wins and all-play wins. This shows how lucky or unlucky a team has been with the schedule.
Teams above the black line have been more fortunate with their schedule and teams below have been unlucky with the opponents they have faced.
msouthwell, Pindeco, 0llie, DanCoulton, hyperpringle, JoeWright, splangtree, Tomcoulton10, benturvill61, jhh82, LannySenior, mikepearson has been the luckiest so far, with 0 more wins than expected.
msouthwell, Pindeco, 0llie, DanCoulton, hyperpringle, JoeWright, splangtree, Tomcoulton10, benturvill61, jhh82, LannySenior, mikepearson can feel hard done by, with 0 fewer wins than expected.
Story of the Season
The following chart shows the performance of each team as the season has progressed. This is calculated as the xWins for each week minus the average wins each week (0.5). This strips out any influence of matchup and purely looks at your points position in a given week.
For example, an increasing line in the first half of the season followed by a decreasing line over the second half would signify good performance to start the year, but a poor run to end the season.
Playoff Bracket
The following is the playoff bracket if the season were to finish today.
Round 1
| 1 | benturvill61 | vs | BYE | |
| 4 | Pindeco | vs | LannySenior | 5 |
| 3 | msouthwell | vs | mikepearson | 6 |
| 2 | jhh82 | vs | BYE |
Round 2
| 1 | benturvill61 | vs | Pindeco/LannySenior | 4/5 |
| 2 | jhh82 | vs | msouthwell/mikepearson | 3/6 |
League Position Tracker
The next table tracks the league position by week for each team in the league. To isolate a single team’s record, double click on the legend on the right.
NFC - North Division
SFC - South Division
Matchup Importance
The following table shows the importance of the next matchup for each manager. Win shows the Playoff % if the matchup is won, and Loss shows the chances with a loss. The Current % is the playoff probability before week 2 takes place. The size of the bar represents the importance of the matchup for each team.
Using this information, we can calculate the importance of each matchup in week 2. The numbers shown give the average playoff leverage for each matchup.
| benturvill61 | 22.8 | jhh82 |
| Pindeco | 22.7 | LannySenior |
| splangtree | 22.0 | Tomcoulton10 |
| DanCoulton | 21.8 | JoeWright |
| 0llie | 21.8 | hyperpringle |
| mikepearson | 20.9 | msouthwell |
Roster Comparison
Contender
The value of each roster has been calculated using crowdsourced values from KeepTradeCut. A value is calculated for each player and these are totaled.
The following chart looks at the value of the squad for this season. Any injuries will affect the value and immediate competitiveness of each team.
Roster Maturity
This chart shows the spread of ages on each roster within the league. The narrower the box, the more concentrated the ages are, and the larger boxes will have a wide spread of ages.